Enter before the outcome
Work only with the facts available when the company faced the decision.
Make a decision before the outcome is revealed. Defend it with evidence, compare credible alternatives, and show what would change your mind.
Case 43 · Nike · decision point
Your memo
Make the bet only if the downside is capped and the next campaign can test whether attention converts into repeat demand.
You are not trying to guess the historical answer. You are building a call that could survive a serious challenge with the information available at the time.
Work only with the facts available when the company faced the decision.
Play the decision board or write the memo. A blank answer never blocks the case.
Compare with history and use the five-dimension review to improve the next draft.
The reviewer sees the case, the question, your memo, and your latest board run. It scores the reasoning visible there, not the probability that the decision succeeds in the real world.
Frame the decision
Name the real decision, the objective, the boundary, and the time horizon.
0–20Use the evidence
Use decision-relevant facts from the case and separate them from assumptions.
0–20Compare alternatives
Test genuinely different options and name the trade-off, stakeholders, and opportunity cost.
0–20Price uncertainty
Name what could break, what is reversible, and the evidence that would change your mind.
0–20Commit and learn
Choose, answer the strongest opposition, and name the next move or learning loop.
0–20Use them as a pre-flight check, not a formula. A phrase on the page earns nothing unless the reasoning behind it is real.
20 words is the review floor · length itself earns nothing
Name the call, the objective, the horizon, and what success means.
Cite the number, date, or event that actually changes the recommendation.
A different date is not a different strategy. Compare another credible future.
Say what you give up, who carries the cost, and what you get in exchange.
Name the assumption, downside, or signal that would make you change course.
Choose, answer the strongest objection, and specify the next test or action.
A score is a position on a published scale, not a reaction to effort or writing style. Seventeen to twenty means the reasoning is unusually resilient to a strong challenge.
The case is evidence, not an answer key.
Choose before you see Phil Knight’s call, defend the recommendation, and read the five-dimension review.
Play the Nike case